Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. Among long shots, Zozos has the best chance to spring an upset, based on speed figures. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby.But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. . Epicenter has just recently won the Risen Star stakes by about three lengths with a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 points. In 10 of the last 12 Runs For The Roses, the winner posted a 100+ BSF in victory. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. . border: 1px solid #CCC; border: 1px solid #CCC; This year, five colts already have surpassed a 102: Taiba, Mo Donegal, Early Voting, all with 111s to their credit, as well as Messier (108) and Zandon (103). 92. Formal Gold ran successive numbers of 126, 124 and 125 in 1997 in the Whitney Handicap (actually losing by a nose to Will's Way), Iselin Handicap and Woodward Stakes. He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. p: (800) 647-6571 It's an exciting time. Olympiad, with Junior Alvarado in the irons, rolled to a 2 -length victory in the July 2 Stephen Foster Stakes at Churchill Downs, his fifth win in a row to start off 2022. For example, Messier posted a 98 Beyer in his most recent race but also has a 103 on his resume, indicating a consistent high-level performer. Holy Bull earned a 121 in his career. Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . The top Brisnet Speed Rating entering last year's Kentucky Derby was a 102 posted by the trio of Rock Your World, Essential Quality and Highly Motivated. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. [2] Flightline earned a 126 speed figure in winning the 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Del Mar Racetrack in 2022. A 90 at Saratoga is the same quality of performance as a 90 at the Ferndale Fair.Moreover, a figure of 90 in a six-furlong race is the same quality of performance as a 90 at 1 miles. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. font-size: 12px; These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. Suite 100 It will be well thought out and he'll have him ready to run no matter where he winds up.. [citation needed]. .tableizer-table td { He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. The Beyer team felt justified for putting the older horse's time in context with the pace and level of the race. The only thing Sadler would commit to is that Flightline's next race will not be a sprint. A horse doesnt have to have earned a triple-digit BSF before the Derby to win, but its also difficult to make an enormous leap of 10+ from a career-best in a prep race and win the Derby. Brisnet does not mark Epicenter as a standout. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. The figure may however be adjusted if the raw numbers are unusual based on the field's previous performances. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). Jerardi is also part of the Beyer speed figure team, a system that was designed by legendary Washington Post racing columnist Andy Beyer. In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. After a weekend of three extremely telling Kentucky Derby prep races, and 50-point races coming quickly, there's no better time to take a look at how the crop has performed figures-wise to this point. This allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed across different tracks on different days. TimeformUS also values the strength of Tim Yakteen's duo. } For American Quarter Horse racing, the Speed index rating system is used. }. Trade. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. Happy Jack. The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). table.tableizer-table { He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. } with a Beyer Speed Figure of 103, best of any contender and second fastest among 3-year-olds this year. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. font-weight: bold; Unlike many of his rivals, he still has room to catch up on speed figures. 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. [4] Easy Goer and Sunday Silence both earned 124 speed figures in the 1989 Breeders' Cup Classic, which tied for the fastest speed figure earned in any Breeders' Cup race. Periods of rain. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Trained by Rudy Rodriguez, the gelding led at every call to cover the six furlongs in 1.11.17. We've waited a long time for a horse like this and I think we have one, said Terry Finley, who heads the West Point Thoroughbreds syndicate, one part of an ownership groups that also includes Hronis Racing LLC, Siena Farm LLC, Summer Wind Equine LLC and Woodford Racing, LLC. Beyer said that if his figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned a 139 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory. The methodology has stood the test of time, though the availability of computer-generated data has enabled some refinements over the years.The calculation of figures is not a mechanical process. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. He's a gift. [22] However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. Last year, he was on fire. specialized hardware accelerators have been developed to facilitate high-speed computations for these data-intensive workloads. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. I think there will be articles about this later in the week, that they've never seen a horse that is faster. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. Slew's Tiz Whiz Named Washington's 2022 Horse Of The Year. Beyer Speed Figures favor Epicenter, and it is not very close. Messier posted his on Feb. 6, 2022 in the Robert B. Lewis (G3), a 1 1/16 mile run which Messier won. I've got a good ownership group. Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? Why do we care? Beyer Speed Figures have become an industry standard for the comparison of one horse's performance to another. background-color: #104E8B; Racing Rsum: After winning two of five starts in his first two seasons of racing with a fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Cigar Mile Handicap Presented by NYRA Bets in his stakes debut, Olympiad has emerged in 2022 as a rising star for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? Also note that this year's Wood Memorial (G2) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) came back the strongest of the prep races, based on Brisnet Speed Ratings. Finley said that all decisions regarding a racing schedule will be made by Sadler. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race. In a rare circumstance, he would have been favored even if the Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, was running in the Preakness. Once horses have built a figure history, Beyer projects a figure based on the figures earned by the horses in the race, in place of the par, making the numbers much more accurate. Other Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the main page. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. The latter calculation compensates for a racetrack running faster or slower than usual. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Taiba won as much the best, again earning a Beyer figure north of 100. 1 . [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. He has faster numbers across the board than Florida Derby winner White Abarrio and will likely be double the price. USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday's Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 - the second-highest in 31 years. He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. The Beyer numbers trace their roots back to the work of Ray Taulbot's parallel-time chart (1959), with Beyer pointing out the flaw of adding a fixed amount of time to slow or fast times at other distances, driving the numbers out of proportion. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987. The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed for the day in particular. [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. By comparison, American Pharoah earned Beyers of 105 for his wins in the Arkansas Derby and the Kentucky Derby. On the Equibase scale, the 100 she earned is tied for the second-best last-out figure. In short, there is much reason for optimism as it pertains to Olympiad being effective at 1 miles in the Longines Classic Nov. 5 at Keeneland. Hence, their status as longshots. With the way things are looking, it seems like Epicenter has an excellent chance of winning the Kentucky Derby this year. Epicenter, with Joel Rosario aboard, wins the $1 million Louisiana Derby horse race at Fair Grounds on Saturday, March 26, 2022. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. It is done, and has always been done, by human beingsBeyer and Mark Hopkins, and their six associates. The Win and Youre In Challenge Series offers the winners of specific individual races an expenses-paid starting spot for corresponding Breeders Cup races, and this blog will periodically take a closer look at one promising prospect.